Paper Title
Prediction Of Storm Surge For Rakhine Coastal Region

Abstract
Rakhine coastal region, western coast of Myanmar, is prone to cyclone and storm surge flooding. The probability of cyclone in Rakhine coast is more than any other place of Myanmar coast. The observations show that large storm surges are caused by strong south westerly winds acting along a large section of the coast. This situation occurs when an intense low pressure center moves relatively close to the coast and in a direction nearly perpendicular to it. The maximum wind speed that causes rising storm surge in Rakhine coastal region can expediently be estimated for different return period probabilistic modeling of historical maximum wind speed data using an appropriate extreme value distribution. And also assessment of minimum central pressure of cyclones in Rakhine coastal region is carried out from the relationship of minimum central pressure versus maximum sustained wind speed. Prediction of storm surge due to wind stress and pressure deficit of Rakhine coastal region for different return period is carried out by empirical prediction method and results are present. Index Terms� Rakhine coastal region, Maximum Wind Speed, Minimum Central Pressure, Storm Surge, Empirical Method.