Paper Title
Incorporating Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) Into Technology Roadmapping (TRM) For Scenario Planning

Abstract
This paper proposes anintegrated approach of fuzzy cognitive map and technology roadmap for scenario planning. Previous attempts to scenario-based technology roadmapsfor responding to the uncertainties, however, are limited toonly external uncertainty and given scenarios. As a remedy, fuzzy cognitive map is integrated to analyze the scenarios under internal and external uncertaintiesand to make decision on roadmapping elementsaccording to dynamic scenarios. Index Terms�Fuzzy Cognitive Map, Technology Roadmap, Scenario Planning, Uncertainty