Paper Title
Explaining The Change In Trends Of NBA Strategy Through The Lens Of Human Risk Tolerance

Abstract
The game of basketball is changing before our very eyes. Throughout the entire NBA, and indeed in all levels of basketball, more 3 point shots are being attempted. While the obvious explanation of the increased role of analytics would suffice to explain why the change is happening at all, it does not explain why it has happened so late. The expected value of a three point shot has been higher than a regular 2 point shot for several decades. There does not seem to be a high correlation between three point attempts and winning that drove this increase of three point attempts. The real driver seems to be twofold. The NBA is a copycat league and the more finalists deviate from the league average in terms of attempts, the more the league changes as a whole. Also, it seems that while there are more skilled players in terms of making a three point shot at a consistently high rate, the league average make rate has not changed. All these trends seem to indicate that the humans have a natural tendency to be risk averse, to overvalue success rate when making decisions, and to follow proven strategies winning teams employ.